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***FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE*** Friday, October 10, 2008
I N T R O D U C T I O N Well, even though most Central New Yorkers don’t even want to think about it, the Winter Season of 2008-2009 is right around the corner. I’ve been working on coming up with my winter predictions for the last few weeks now, being sure to utilize the latest technology from the National Weather Service’s Climate Prediction Center, AccuWeather, and a number of other weather information sources. Here’s a little briefing before we get into the hard cold data and facts below. The sources I typically depend on to collaborate with my views this year turned out to offer different predictions on the upcoming winter season. Below is my attempt at trying to find the average of the reports, with a little of my own personal input. What I can tell you though, is that people who love snow days look to be in luck this year, but as always, no definite guarantees.
What Was Looked At
What Was Found The Winter Season for 2008-2009 overall is looking to be colder than the past 3-5 years. December seems to be looking like the prime month for extremely brisk weather, but at least one more cold-spell is to be expected for sometime in mid to late January or early February. "The winter as a whole in the population-dense eastern third of the nation will be a one-two punch of higher heating prices and lower temperatures. Given this economic environment, the winter could push some homeowners to the brink," said Joe Bastardi with the release of his winter predictions on October 8. As far as precipitation goes however, I’m not convinced that we’ll get an above average amount of snowfall. The main issue is looking to be the cold. I am predicting at least 2 to 3 major lake effect accumulations, which should be expected every winter here in Central New York.
T H E O U T L O O K Temperature
Precipitation/Snowfall
P U T T I N G I T A L L T O G E T H E R
*May vary depending on amount of Lake Effect Snow
C O N C L U S I O N Based on my findings, the main concern of the upcoming winter for Central New Yorkers is looking to be the cold temperatures. While the snow will also be an issue, major at times, temperatures will have a greater effect overall. The times to keep an eye out for major cold this winter look to be December and mid-to-late January or early February. The times to look out for heavy snowfall look to be late December and the entire month of January, and of course during Lake Effect Snow events.
F U T U R E U P D A T E S T O T H I S R E P O R T It is possible that with new information coming into The Central New York Weather Center, and new models released daily, that there could be some modifications that may need to be done on this outlook. Any changes will be finished and distributed by December 1, 2008.
M Y C L O S I N G & D E L A Y P R E D I C T I O N S I am not including in this report any estimate of the amount of closings and delays we will receive anywhere in Central New York this upcoming winter. I have, however, created a section on my website to provide real-time updates of my predictions on days where I issue predictions. During the winter season you can go to www.centralnewyorkweather.com, and click on “Closing & Delay Predictions” on the main page to see what I’m thinking!
Y O U R F E E D B A C K Your feedback is greatly appreciated regarding my Winter Weather Outlook. Any questions, comments, or concerns should be e-mailed to me at cmetcal1@twcny.rr.com. Thank you!
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